You knew it couldn't last

[Kat]

It's either kill rk or kill Kelly and hope he has the unknown townie targeted.

 

[Local Hero]

Pretty sure the plan is to kill rk

 

[A Maybe Baker]

Pretty sure the plan is to kill rk

Well at least the smart thing is happening then

 

[Local Hero]

Well at least the smart thing is happening then

Yeah, Fools is smart enough to target the right person

 

[rktaker]

i like how you say killing me is the smart thing like I wouldn't mess up

 

[Local Hero]

i like how you say killing me is the smart thing like I wouldn't mess up

Oh, hey...Didn't see you there...

 

[A Maybe Baker]

i like how you say killing me is the smart thing like I wouldn't mess up

Well killing Kelly is bad because he's the avenger and could end the game right there. Killing the other townie is bad because then it leaves just you and Kelly to not vote for each other. Congrats on being the smart play by default!

 

[A Maybe Baker]

 

[Benzine]

what's the story here

 

[Zell 17]

Stuff is gonna happen in 30 mins

 

[dimmerwit]

 

[Zell 17]

I didnt say exciting stuff

 

[Quagmire]

 

[A Maybe Baker]

I didnt say exciting stuff

Sounds boring

 

[canadaguy]

At the very least, I have been vindicated

 

[A Maybe Baker]

At the very least, I have been vindicated

I think most people other than Kat were at least decently convinced

 

[A Maybe Baker]

But she was going the trickery on the first night route, which is a decent option if the body is being killed either way.

 

[Zell 17]

All the deads are here, who wants to know stuff

 

[dimmerwit]

Is FR really the Preacher then?

 

[Zell 17]

Is FR really the Preacher then?

Yep, and he currently has three votes so today's vote doesn't really matter, whoever he votes for dies.

 

[canadaguy]

So on night 1 I got targeted by both wolves and SK?

 

[Zell 17]

So on night 1 I got targeted by both wolves and SK?

You got targeted by the wolves. Jon got targeted by the Illusionist, but you were protecting them.

 

[canadaguy]

I think most people other than Kat were at least decently convinced

And Jawneh in here, and FR occasionally

 

[Kat]

At the very least, I have been vindicated

I guess I was hoping you were evil because otherwise that's the worst luck ever to be hit by both evil teams the first night.

 

[Kat]

You got targeted by the wolves. Jon got targeted by the Illusionist, but you were protecting them.

Lol nice, saved a wolf

 

[Zell 17]

I guess I was hoping you were evil because otherwise that's the worst luck ever to be hit by both evil teams the first night.

Town had unbelievably bad luck this game, which we can analyze in the post-game. But hey, it happens.

 

[Zell 17]

Town had unbelievably bad luck this game, which we can analyze in the post-game. But hey, it happens.

Or now, whatever

 

[dimmerwit]

I'm guessing an Alpha can block an avenge?

 

[canadaguy]

You got targeted by the wolves. Jon got targeted by the Illusionist, but you were protecting them.

Quagmire said earlier he picked my number night 1, but I guess the whole picking numbers can get lost in translation on our side

 

[Zell 17]

I'm guessing an Alpha can block an avenge?

Alpha has two lives. It would lose the first life on an avenging.

 

[Zell 17]

I'm guessing an Alpha can block an avenge?

He picked 5, and then I told him that you were disguised. I don't think he ever went back to the number table and checked that 5 wasn't your number.

 

[canadaguy]

He picked 5, and then I told him that you were disguised. I don't think he ever went back to the number table and checked that 5 wasn't your number.

Well fuck me then lol. Night 1 could not have gone worse for me bwhahah

 

[A Maybe Baker]

Yep, and he currently has three votes so today's vote doesn't really matter, whoever he votes for dies.

So then town will win because he knows Kelly is town. What fun.

 

[dimmerwit]

So then town will win because he knows Kelly is town. What fun.

Remember that worst case scenario you posted?

 

[A Maybe Baker]

Also CG out here getting a protect on the first night while also being targeted. Both Erics got hit twice this game.

 

[A Maybe Baker]

Remember that worst case scenario you posted?

Oh is there another alpha out there?

 

[canadaguy]

Double alpha seems like a technical impossibility from a wolf hierarchy standpoint

 

[A Maybe Baker]

Remember that worst case scenario you posted?

Worst case would involve another alpha, an avenger, and potentially Guardian

So did I nail it with my worst case scenario here?

 

[Local Hero]

So did I nail it with my worst case scenario here?

Post in thread 'Zell Wolf Version 18 Day 3' https://gwforums.com/threads/zell-wolf-version-18-day-3.2531/post-151720

 

[Local Hero]

Best case would involve blind/seer/shaman. Worst case would involve another alpha, an avenger, and potentially Guardian. Trickster is "meh" at this point.

 

[A Maybe Baker]

That means the only way(s) we could have won would have involved Kat hitting one of the other two wolves. Either way would have worked I suppose. Hitting the Guardian would have meant kut got lynched that day and I'd have still been alive, the Guardian would have been killed by a rock the next day and never gotten to use the power. Hitting the other alpha would Have led to an easy lynch target, but the town still would have had numbers.

 

[A Maybe Baker]

Basically needed the Avenger wolf to be the last kill

 

[Local Hero]

That means the only way(s) we could have won would have involved Kat hitting one of the other two wolves. Either way would have worked I suppose. Hitting the Guardian would have meant kut got lynched that day and I'd have still been alive, the Guardian would have been killed by a rock the next day and never gotten to use the power. Hitting the other alpha would Have led to an easy lynch target, but the town still would have had numbers.

More like, the only way the wolves could win is if Kat kills a townie and the solo killer kills like 3 townies?

Sure we're (probably) going to win but holy hell did we get lucky

 

[Zell 17]

That means the only way(s) we could have won would have involved Kat hitting one of the other two wolves. Either way would have worked I suppose. Hitting the Guardian would have meant kut got lynched that day and I'd have still been alive, the Guardian would have been killed by a rock the next day and never gotten to use the power. Hitting the other alpha would Have led to an easy lynch target, but the town still would have had numbers.

Could also have lynched dimmerwit last.

 

[Zell 17]

Benzine also revealing Kelly instead of...anyone else is unlucky. With no wolf seer, it's very likely the wolves would have killed Kelly at some point and lost.

 

[A Maybe Baker]

Could also have lynched dimmerwit last.

That's what I meant. She killed dimmerwit with the rocks meaning she'd have needed to hit not him.

 

[Zell 17]

Town can still win here if Jon gets destroyed in a hurricane

 

[A Maybe Baker]

Sure we're (probably) going to win but holy hell did we get lucky

How could you possibly lose at this point? Once the numbers are even the wolves win.

 

[Local Hero]

Town can still win here if Jon gets destroyed in a hurricane

I'm doing my part

 

[A Maybe Baker]

Town can still win here if Jon gets destroyed in a hurricane

I suppose if he forgets to do a night kill it's game over.