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Ben

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Anyone who doesn't already know: who do you think is the real head hunter?
Excited Season 3 GIF by The Simpsons
 
Calling it now, benzine is chillin because he got me killed as his primary objective. He is not going to stir the pot, nobody knows it's him, and Jon isn't coming back here.

Ok. Good.
And arso (okay I guess we can namedrop since Ben confirmed Jon isn't coming: SHORTKUT) can't kill anybody for 3 more night phases so he's basically done.
 
I think that two people claiming the same solo role is going to take all of the attention. Which it should, because 100% at least one of them is lying (and that liar happens to be evil). Even if they out the liar though, that allows Benzine another night to kill, and Alu is the only protection role left. And he's out in the open with that role, so he'll probably be Benzine's target (unless the Warden can't be attacked? I need to double check the rules on that).
 

TD

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I think what'll ultimately happen is Benzine gets killed today, then Alu follows up with his plan to give Quagmire a weapon to use on shortkut in jail. If that's the case, game could be wrapped up next night phase.
 
Yeah warden can be killed at night. So probably either Alu or Jon are dying after either shortkut or Quagmire is lynched. Although Quagmire is another possibility if they lynch shortkut, because Quagmire will be somewhat confirmed as town (or accused of being a Fool who is lying) and either way won't be eligible as a fall guy for the next days lynching.
 
I think what'll ultimately happen is Benzine gets killed today, then Alu follows up with his plan to give Quagmire a weapon to use on shortkut in jail. If that's the case, game could be wrapped up next night phase.
I guess that's plausible, maybe even likely, since Jon made a good point about shortkut not being a threat in the short term and is saying Benzine has the weakest claim.
 

TD

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I guess that's plausible, maybe even likely, since Jon made a good point about shortkut not being a threat in the short term and is saying Benzine has the weakest claim.
And since the arsonist burned, combined with Alu jailing both solos, really no reason to look at the solos today.
 

canadaguy

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I think that two people claiming the same solo role is going to take all of the attention. Which it should, because 100% at least one of them is lying (and that liar happens to be evil). Even if they out the liar though, that allows Benzine another night to kill, and Alu is the only protection role left. And he's out in the open with that role, so he'll probably be Benzine's target (unless the Warden can't be attacked? I need to double check the rules on that).
Assuming Jon is bodyguard now though
 
And since the arsonist burned, combined with Alu jailing both solos, really no reason to look at the solos today.
Why not try to jail a suspected wolf if they don't get lynched today? Jailing the solos won't make sense unless they were trying to take out the arso, but like I said he's impotent for the next two nights.
Christina is flagger is she not?
Yep!
 

canadaguy

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Why not try to jail a suspected wolf if they don't get lynched today? Jailing the solos won't make sense unless they were trying to take out the arso, but like I said he's impotent for the next two nights.
Lynch either Jawneh or Benzine today. Jail the other with Jon. So they get the wolf either in the day or the night.

Then next day, lynch either kut or Quagmire. If they get it wrong, kut can only douse that night and then it's an easy lynch the next night.
 

TD

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Why not try to jail a suspected wolf if they don't get lynched today? Jailing the solos won't make sense unless they were trying to take out the arso, but like I said he's impotent for the next two nights.
The challenge with that is the realistic lynch/wolf targets today are Benzine and Jawneh. The warden has to send it in before the lynch result so jailing the two solos is the safest bet for the town; when Quagmire takes off shortkut's head the Arsonist is gone.

Then, the other gets lynched the next day if needed; unless the Flagger makes the wolf kill themself if they get super predictable with the kill target.
 
Lynch either Jawneh or Benzine today. Jail the other with Jon. So they get the wolf either in the day or the night.

Then next day, lynch either kut or Quagmire. If they get it wrong, kut can only douse that night and then it's an easy lynch the next night.
See, that makes sense.
The challenge with that is the realistic lynch/wolf targets today are Benzine and Jawneh. The warden has to send it in before the lynch result so jailing the two solos is the safest bet for the town; when Quagmire takes off shortkut's head the Arsonist is gone.

Then, the other gets lynched the next day if needed; unless the Flagger makes the wolf kill themself if they get super predictable with the kill target.
That's only a problem if it looks like the two wolf suspects are going to tie. I'm sure Alu has enough sense to see which way the wind is blowing and jail one of the two that looks like they'll avoid lynching.
 

TD

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That's only a problem if it looks like the two wolf suspects are going to tie. I'm sure Alu has enough sense to see which way the wind is blowing and jail one of the two that looks like they'll avoid lynching.
I mean different strokes at this point. The how doesn't really matter too much - especially with Jawneh claiming Priest, town should have this easily regardless of the order of operations.
 

canadaguy

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I mean unless of course the Priest just doesn't use their ability (!?), I'm giving up trying to figure out what the town is thinking here.
I think watering any of the 3 should wrap things up nicely.

If he hits Benzine, easy peasy from there.

If he whiffs, it still confirms all the baddies. Effectively outs Benzine, so he should get lynched. Overnight either Quagmire or shortkut gets killed in jail, and then the next day is elementary
 
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TD

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Yeah, like even knowing what's going on, his sus is through the charts right now. Especially with how adamant he is to have the weapon dropped early.

Hypothetically a wolf would push for that cause you'd kill the person, get out, then do the wolf kill.
 

TD

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I also don't know why if you're going for the guaranteed kill, you'd jail anyone but Jon with an apparent evil? Like. Why Jawneh?

It makes no sense.
 

canadaguy

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And like, he has the information to know the good guys. Christina and Jon 100% confirmed, Alu confirmed by the fact no dispute on the last strong role. And he knows himself obviously

Which also means he knows 100% who isn't town.
 
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TD

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This literally reads like shortkut thinking Jawneh is the last wolf and these two are trying to plan - while the 4 votes that matter (Alu, Christina, Jon, Quagmire) are all still voting for Jawneh.

This should be a splash or get lynched situation.
 
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