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Okay, I'm going to throw another suspect out there: @Kat - based on what seems to be good skill level.
If @VashTheStampede is indeed a townie (I still have my doubts) I think this post could have led a high skill level player to think that @shortkut would go with the other known (or at least perceived to be known) townie, in @Holly :
gwforums.com
If you don't feel like clicking: after @Zell 17 confirmed my thoughts on how the shaman role works (it'll fool the detective) kut said that information would finalize his plan. Before that he publicly stated he'd use @Cole every time. After that, it seemed reasonable to make the switch to someone else. Therefore the shaman could have chosen Holly as the target, to trick us into thinking the other person would be a wolf even if they weren't, or it would trick us into thinking a wolf is really a townie.
Even if this isn't the case and vash is truly a wolf, this is a drawback to publicly stating plans like that before (and even after) fully understanding all the rules.
If @VashTheStampede is indeed a townie (I still have my doubts) I think this post could have led a high skill level player to think that @shortkut would go with the other known (or at least perceived to be known) townie, in @Holly :
Zell Wolf - GWF Wolf - Zell's Version Night + Day 1
Cole is going to be my baseline with each detection I think that's the right move

If you don't feel like clicking: after @Zell 17 confirmed my thoughts on how the shaman role works (it'll fool the detective) kut said that information would finalize his plan. Before that he publicly stated he'd use @Cole every time. After that, it seemed reasonable to make the switch to someone else. Therefore the shaman could have chosen Holly as the target, to trick us into thinking the other person would be a wolf even if they weren't, or it would trick us into thinking a wolf is really a townie.
Even if this isn't the case and vash is truly a wolf, this is a drawback to publicly stating plans like that before (and even after) fully understanding all the rules.