Zell Wolf GWF Zell Wolf Volume XIII Day 1

[TD]

For what it's worth, I am not anti-Scarlett. And I never claimed to be.

Okay okay.

Unvote Jon.

 

[VashTheStampede]

 

[TD]

 

[Ben]

How you thought it would go:


How it went:

 

[TD]

@Jawneh
What're the wolves up to?

 

[Jawneh]

@Jawneh
What're the wolves up to?

 

[TD]

View attachment 7975

This is far and away better than any response I could've expected.

Any thoughts on who you'll be killing?

 

[TD]

Also, does anyone else smell gasoline?

 

[Jawneh]

This is far and away better than any response I could've expected.

Any thoughts on who you'll be killing?

Nothing solid yet. Currently only the usual power players are of interest. There really is no folks grabbing extra sus on their own merits. May or may have to pull something off with our wolf powers.

 

[TD]

Nothing solid yet. Currently only the usual power players are of interest. There really is no folks grabbing extra sus on their own merits. May or may have to pull something off with our wolf powers.

Humour me.

Do you think I'm bluffing or telling the truth this time?

 

[Jawneh]

Humour me.

Do you think I'm bluffing or telling the truth this time?

It's more 35/65. this time. Pro/against.

 

[TD]

Well, I'm sure somebody will swing on by at some point and pick up what I've been putting down.

Maybe.

 

[TD]

And again, in the interest in full transparency.

I either had something or I didn't.
Maybe I do now, maybe I don't.
There's been enough caution today that the wolves are either not very active or worried I do have something.

The wolves don't know if I'm bluffing.

I've seen enough today to strongly suspect there is a Shadow Wolf in play - which is why I'm waiting until after the halfway point and they can't use the shadow to save one of their own.

 

[VashTheStampede]

I love you TD but all these posts just sound like static

 

[Jawneh]

Well, I'm sure somebody will swing on by at some point and pick up what I've been putting down.

Maybe.

I'm a wolf though, so how does that change the odds.

 

[TD]

I love you TD but all these posts just sound like static

Which is how I like it now.

More loose, less serious, and I definitely know a wolf.

 

[Jon]

In the spirit of his "do you want to build a snowman" playstyle, I think we can all agree that TD needs to:

 

[TD]

I'm a wolf though, so how does that change the odds.

I mean - you're also not the snowperson I discovered. I like it when the snowperson is around to defend themselves.

 

[TD]

In the spirit of his "do you want to build a snowman" playstyle, I think we can all agree that TD needs to:

Oh don't worry, shortly after the 12 hour mark I'll give you the wolf.

 

[Jon]

I mean - you're also not the snowperson I discovered. I like it when the snowperson is around to defend themselves.

I knew it, Tubby is a wolf!

 

[TD]

I knew it, Tubby is a wolf!

I wish.

 

[TD]

In the meantime.

I'm going to toss a vote on Vash for the "I love you but you're bluffing" message. As much as I would prefer not to.

 

[VashTheStampede]

My problem with the "I know something but I'm not going to say until a certain time later", ever since Cole did it back in like, Game 2, is that if anyone else actually does have information, they'll likely be waiting to see what, if any, information you claim to have. So all it does is kill discussion time. Which benefits the bads and not the goods.

 

[Jon]

I wish.

Me too. I miss him.

 

[TD]

My problem with the "I know something but I'm not going to say until a certain time later", ever since Cole did it back in like, Game 2, is that if anyone else actually does have information, they'll likely be waiting to see what, if any, information you claim to have. So all it does is kill discussion time. Which benefits the bads and not the goods.

Except the reason I'm genuinely waiting is in case who I hit was the shadow wolf which I can't help but shake that feeling.

There's plenty of time for discussion but if you want to pretend like everything is waiting on me, there's plenty else to discuss.

 

[VashTheStampede]

I kinda feel like there's a Shadow Wolf too.

I feel like maybe there's a 1 in 13 chance or so...roughly.

 

[TD]

I kinda feel like there's a Shadow Wolf too.

I feel like maybe there's a 1 in 13 chance or so...roughly.

But with 4 wolves, there's 4 chances of hitting that too.

But aside, it's not an odds play. It's a "watching what is happening" play and certain discussion reeks of wolves trying to warn eachother to not engage me because they can't through DMs.

I don't see anyone else offering up anything other than "TD is trying to drive a narrative" when I haven't even said who you should be killing.

I'm not seeing anyone else bring suspicions to the table and I'm not going to lead the town.

I'll reveal the snowperson shortly after 9pm EST assuming I'm not bluffing, but if anyone else has thoughts - then please, by all means.

And if those thoughts lead to me getting splashed, lynched, killed tonight, or whatever other cruel fate Zell's RNG has placed upon me - then so be it.

 

[VashTheStampede]

Why then?

 

[TD]

Why what?

 

[Zell 17]

I kinda feel like there's a Shadow Wolf too.

I feel like maybe there's a 1 in 13 chance or so...roughly.

DID SOMEONE ASK FOR ODDS???

29.3% chance of at least one shadow wolf.

 

[VashTheStampede]

DID SOMEONE ASK FOR ODDS???

 

[TD]

Oh also - changing my vote to Kelly.

Not the snowperson but extremely high probability he's a wolf.

 

[A Punched Face]

Why then?

Because Shadow Wolf needs to be activated before the halfway point in the day, which is 9PM EST. (technically it's "with at least 12 hours left in the day" but that's effectively "halfway")

However, if there is a shadow wolf, the wolves can't communicate right now in their chat. If there's also an alpha wolf then that one person could get around that with a suggestion. But other than that they'd need to somehow communicate in the open in order to agree on a single person to lynch with their double voting power.

 

[TD]

TLDR; Wolves pretty much always pry for a name when you suggest one, he continually did so. When I didn't cave, he voted me like that'll change my mind. He first went for Jawneh - he's cited we're both a liability but has added zero to help. He also referred to "the town" as a third party entity as if he's not part of it, and agreed with Vash when he said splashing me would be suicide. Cause he knows I ain't a wolf, cause he is.

Snowperson will be revealed after 9pm EST, I'll be back later.

 

[Kat]

In case anyone else is curious:

Shadow Wolf
Aura: Evil
Can cast a shadow one time over the town's votes during the day. Must be used with adequate time remaining in the day, at least 12 hours. Usable via PM. Voting for the day's lynch will become private, and wolves votes will be doubled. If the shadow wolf is on the wolf team, the wolves will not be able to communicate with each other privately during the day until AFTER the night after the shadow wolf ability has been used. If the Alpha Wolf is in the group, the Alpha Wolf may send private, one-way messages to the team during this period by PMing me

So if there's a shadow wolf and no alpha then they can't coordinate their votes except in this thread? Yikes.

If there is a shadow wolf, surely they'll be using it today because otherwise they can't talk privately and that'd be annoying AF.

 

[VashTheStampede]

However, if there is a shadow wolf, the wolves can't communicate right now in their chat. If there's also an alpha wolf then that one person could get around that with a suggestion. But other than that they'd need to somehow communicate in the open in order to agree on a single person to lynch with their double voting power.

Unless one number stood out amongst the rest as particularly tasty looking. They could have easily made their decision last night.

 

[Kat]

Unless one number stood out amongst the rest as particularly tasty looking. They could have easily made their decision last night.

Ohh, good catch, it's only during the day they can't communicate.

 

[A Punched Face]

Unless one number stood out amongst the rest as particularly tasty looking. They could have easily made their decision last night.

Well we all know what happens when the wolves decide to use their Shadow on the first day by picking a number at random.

 

[VashTheStampede]

Well we all know what happens when the wolves decide to use their Shadow on the first day by picking a number at random.

I'm pretty sure not everyone knows so lets uh...lets keep this one between us.

 

[TD]

Oh no Jumpman is doomed.

 

[shortkut]

Too many words… I’m only looking at pictures

 

[TD]

Too many words… I’m only looking at pictures

 

[shortkut]

 

[TD]

 

[shortkut]

 

[TD]

 

[TD]

If there is a shadow wolf, surely they'll be using it today because otherwise they can't talk privately and that'd be annoying AF.

When we had a shadow, we saved it for Day 2 when we could unquestionably win the vote. We used it to both save me and kill the aura seer (we had help of a Cupid'd townie whom I love very much).

It's probably better off being saved even if you can't DM, unless you're pressed into a situation where you need to use it.

 

[Tommy Boy]

I love you TD but all these posts just sound like static

He is just cycling through his play style list he shared in the sign up thread, either at random or in some sort of order.

 

[Tommy Boy]

If there is a shadow wolf, surely they'll be using it today because otherwise they can't talk privately and that'd be annoying AF.

At the very least we get notified because the poll disappears.

 

[TD]

He is just cycling through his play style list he shared in the sign up thread, either at random or in some sort of order.

told y'all he's the GOAT