VashTheStampede
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We need a video game Criterion Closet
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They should call it cookie and chill.I hear it's a great asymmetric couch co-op multiplayer game
The real plan is to show up with Seb, then run off while leaving Smackster with Seb.Hey hey hey hey hey...you hitting on my woman?!
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Biden made a great point in that interview and touched on what I had already been thinking in the last few days. I'd love for the rhetoric to be toned way down, but how do you reconcile that except to just not mention all of the reasons why Trump is a legit threat to our democracy? This is not normal disagreement and politics, it goes way outside of that. It's not just 4 more years of an awful president, it's a legit and valid fear that this could be the LAST presidential election.
Unfortunately none of it matters when Biden can barely get the sentence out. The biggest problem I have right now with everything that's going on is that Biden is in no state to actually fight against what the right is doing. He doesn't have the speed to refute or confidently argue against anything Trump says, constantly is misspeaking, and honestly he's being very weird about the entire election with his whole aggressive whispering thing.Biden made a great point in that interview and touched on what I had already been thinking in the last few days. I'd love for the rhetoric to be toned way down, but how do you reconcile that except to just not mention all of the reasons why Trump is a legit threat to our democracy? This is not normal disagreement and politics, it goes way outside of that. It's not just 4 more years of an awful president, it's a legit and valid fear that this could be the LAST presidential election.
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REVEALED: Trump campaign secret data on gunman’s family
The family of Trump’s would-be assassin Thomas Crooks was among millions of voters profiled by Trump’s 2016 presidential campaignwww.channel4.com
Man I'd love to know more about this database and how they figured that Crooks' parents would be gun owners and pro-Trump. And what they would want that specific information for.
Also I'd like to know more about the explosive devices found at his car and home.
Too bad it's apparently only foreign media not owned by billionaires that seem to want to do their job.
The whole possible conspiracy of them knowing his dad was likely among the top 20 most likely to have guns in the state is... Weirder.
You're right, me said words bad.Top 20 in Bethel Park, not the whole state.
But after the debate and the failed assassination I think there's no way in hell Biden can win this anymore unless something ELSE comes out against Trump that is so bad that even he loses some of his supporters.
Without Biden getting replaced I think it's totally over now and it's really going to be Biden's fault (and the fault of those around him who are encouraging him to stay in the race) for not doing what's right for the country vs what's right for his vision of his legacy.
Honestly I don't think it's that bad (yet). Four months is a long time in the media and political landscape and people have short memories. Like I said after the debate, the next thing in the news cycle is going to take their attention away onto something else. There's also the convention next month, and as has been pointed out the polls haven't really been affected much by either of those two big things. A lot can happen.Yeah it honestly sucks so bad. If you asked me a month ago who was gonna win this election I would've said Biden even though he looks weak. But after the debate and the failed assassination I think there's no way in hell Biden can win this anymore unless something ELSE comes out against Trump that is so bad that even he loses some of his supporters.
Without Biden getting replaced I think it's totally over now and it's really going to be Biden's fault (and the fault of those around him who are encouraging him to stay in the race) for not doing what's right for the country vs what's right for his vision of his legacy.
You could tell who had and hadn't played XCOM before that day.I remember 538 saying Trump has a 1/3 chance of winning back then. And people were like "Clinton has this thing in the bag!" And I'm screaming NO YOU DOPES! ONE THIRD IS NOT INSIGNIFICANT.
betterI wonder how different the political climate would be if that 15% never happened
TBF, the majority did vote for Clinton. Gerrymandering and the electoral college fucked us.
better
It's truly amazing how much damage one presidential term can doThat is a huge understatement, the SCOTUS and courts wouldnt be as fucked as they are
Hmm.All this talk of voting is fine, but I think it's about time we moved on to a vote that REALLY mattered.
@VashTheStampede -- next round of the great video game draft WHEN
Unless Trump by his own dumbassery costs himself the election again, or a fuck up of epic proportions on the GOP's end, I don't see how the Dems can win this anymore. Not even if they replaced Biden.Yeah it honestly sucks so bad. If you asked me a month ago who was gonna win this election I would've said Biden even though he looks weak. But after the debate and the failed assassination I think there's no way in hell Biden can win this anymore unless something ELSE comes out against Trump that is so bad that even he loses some of his supporters.
Without Biden getting replaced I think it's totally over now and it's really going to be Biden's fault (and the fault of those around him who are encouraging him to stay in the race) for not doing what's right for the country vs what's right for his vision of his legacy.
Polls suggest Trump didn't get an assassination bump. I don't believe it, but I DO think that the Dems do still have a path if they replace Biden. I think that path is very narrow and treacherous with Kamala, but still.Unless Trump by his own dumbassery costs himself the election again, or a fuck up of epic proportions on the GOP's end, I don't see how the Dems can win this anymore. Not even if they replaced Biden.
I'm embarrassed to say that back then, in 2016 I was of the opinion that 4 years of Trump and 8 years of Hilary would be equally as bad. And HOLY SHIT did that guy prove me wrong...One difference now, people were embarrassed to say they were going to vote for Trump, that is no longer the case for most
It's simple: I don't trust the polls. The Republican vote was underestimated in both 2016 and 2020. Maybe it's bad or lazy analysis, but when polls say it's 50/50, I feel like that tilts Republican.Also, yall are just as weird as the "hilary has this thing in the bag" people if yall are saying that 50/50 polls mean Biden has no chance.
It didn't underestimate republicans, it was a tight race in a few key states and a 1/3 chance overall means still a high probability that it could happen.It's simple: I don't trust the polls. The Republican vote was underestimated in both 2016 and 2020. Maybe it's bad or lazy analysis, but when polls say it's 50/50, I feel like that tilts Republican.
What I'm saying is that polls showing 50/50 is more likely to be 70/30 in favor of Trump because polls from the past couple of general elections have underestimated Republican turnout. And I'm sorry, but I'm not enthused about a 30% chance of Biden winning. I'd love to be wrong, though.It didn't underestimate republicans, it was a tight race in a few key states and a 1/3 chance overall means still a high probability that it could happen.
That's the other thing too: after 2016 conservatives stopped believing in polls, and in 2020 they were all "yeah yall said he was going to lose last time too! Polls are FAKE NEWS! GO TRUMP!!" Don't be anti-math like those dimwits.
I don't tend to answer calls from known numbers.Plus polls have less value just because of how society has evolved technologically.
How many of us answer calls from unknown numbers anymore?
I don't tend to answer calls from known numbers.
"A guy who makes tracks about cock pushups is held to a higher standard than our politicians? "
A redditor made this comment about Kyle getting dropped from his Agent (and probably the band)
I don’t agree on throwing Kyle under the bus.
1. It was clearly a joke.
2. We can make dementia jokes about Biden, something that cannot be helped, but Trump can’t catch a punchline about a bad shot, something that could have been helped if he wasn’t an antagonist?
Both are poor taste, admittedly, but you don’t wake up one day and decide to have dementia… you do wake up one day being a dick to people.
I don't get the context here.
Does Biden even have dementia? He from what i understand corrects himself when he makes a name mistake which is something dementia patients don't do
Kyle blew out a cake on stage and Jack asked what his wish was and Kyle said "next time don't miss"
Conservatives are so two-faced. As an anecdote, after the debate of the 2020 election my old boss was so offended that Biden called Trump a clown, felt it was petty and unpresidential and all that. So I'm like "what about all the times Trump called him Sleepy Joe?", and the double-standard went right over her head because she just laughed and said "he IS Sleepy Joe!!"![]()
Conservatives are so two-faced. As an anecdote, after the debate of the 2020 election my old boss was so offended that Biden called Trump a clown, felt it was petty and unpresidential and all that. So I'm like "what about all the times Trump called him Sleepy Joe?", and the double-standard went right over her head because she just laughed and said "he IS Sleepy Joe!!"![]()
538 hasn't updated their models since Silver was fired, and right now they're not putting a lot of weight into the polls (which is usually good at this point in the cycle...maybe not this year) in favor of other fundamentals.Polls suggest Trump didn't get an assassination bump. I don't believe it, but I DO think that the Dems do still have a path if they replace Biden. I think that path is very narrow and treacherous with Kamala, but still.
FWIW 538 still has Biden ahead of Trump, but it is nail-bitingly close.
Polls were actually better in 2020 than 2016 in how polls are judged for accuracy: they were closer to the actual percentage for the outcomes than in 2016. Why people think they were worse: there were coin flips within the margin of error and whatnot that went the other way more often than they did in 2016. So they were both more accurate (getting closer to the final results (say 48%-47% instead of 42-51% with an actual outcome of 47%-48%)) and less accurate (percentages were closer, but the winner was wrong) at the same time.The polls absolutely underestimated Trump last time. They were even worse in 2020 than in 2016.