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Alright, fuck it. Here is my breakdown. Read it and weep.
Facts:
canadaguy was the Detective.
Ants! was the Priest.
Shortkut is not a wolf and doesn't fear dying.
Ben was the Jailer.
Fool's Requiem is dead but could be any role, including the Illusionist.
Strong opinions:
If Tommy Boy is a wolf, Raine is probably not a wolf. If Tommy Boy is not a wolf, Raine is probably a wolf.
Several players have laid low and had conspicuous role claims.
Breakdown:
Dean - I know I'm the Beast Hunter (RVR1).
Raine - claims to be the Ritualist. If Tommy Boy is a wolf, I'm inclined to believe her. If Tommy isn't a wolf, he's probably the Spirit Seer, and Raine is a wolf. Raine has been leading lynch mobs and steering votes. I hope she is truly the Ritualist. 51/49 townie.
Vash - claims to be the Loudmouth (RVR2). I have no reason to doubt this. Shortkut is pro-Vash, but I can't tell if he is 100% sure based on evidence. Vash has played the same in this game as I have seen in other games where he's been a townie, but I also know Vash is smart enough to keep his style consistent. 70% feeling Vash is a townie.
Tommy Boy - claims to be Spirit Seer (RVR - not really). Weakest evidence IMO. Tommy would know Vash is innocent if he were a wolf. I am sticking with Tommy being a wolf and Raine being the Ritualist unless I am proven otherwise. Tommy hasn't been very active, admittedly because of his new video game. I can't get past the post where he said he checked Raine and me and saw red. If this is true, then Raine is a killer. 51/49 wolfie.
Fool's Requiem - this is probably my ballsiest guess, but I think there is a good possibility that FR was the Illusionist and got very unlucky by picking shortkut, who is the Flagger. This is my wild ass guess, and I'm probably wrong. Like 25% chance here.
Alu/Altoona Pizza - I'm trying to pick up hints. I believe he's the Marksman, unless I missed a role claim/hint. I'm not entirely sold, and Alu was on my bubble of potential wolves. I know he is busy showing his house/moving, but he is always such a difficult read, it makes me nervous. I feel 50/50 on Alu.
Benzine - I am starting to have strong suspicions of them being a wolf. Not a lot of activity, besides "I don't have time. I'll have to look over things later." But later never comes. Followed by quick votes or dismissive comments. Seems careful to say much or engage. Plus, if I picked up on the hint correctly, claimed to be Beast Hunter (RVR - not really). Not saying there can't be two, but it seems kind of unlikely. I would say 80% that Benzine is a wolf.
Jawneh - I regret not lynching yesterday, as I feel that, looking back on their posts, they are likely a wolf. "Won't end the game if I die." "Not the fool". Posting about the magic eight ball. Supposed vague role claiming, but I think more likely a wolf keeping a low profile.
Local Hero - claims to be a witch but didn't know the witch cannot protect themselves and seemed to get caught. I think TD's suspicion was right and they're the Fool.
shortkut - I feel like Flagger makes sense here. Either way, I think shortkut is a random villager (RVR3). About 50% sure.
Smacktard - claims to be Sheriff but I think the original beliefs of wolf could be more accurate. Tubby is role claiming Sheriff, but there could be two. I think it's 50/50, but if I had to pick, I would guess either Kelly or Tubby is a wolf. I would pick Kelly right now.
TD - RVR4. I don't know which role. I probably missed some role claim hints too. He posts way too much!
Tubby23 - claims to be Sheriff. Similar to Kelly/Smacktard, I feel like either he is sheriff or wolf. I am barely leaning toward Sheriff right now but am prepared to be wrong.
Facts:
canadaguy was the Detective.
Ants! was the Priest.
Shortkut is not a wolf and doesn't fear dying.
Ben was the Jailer.
Fool's Requiem is dead but could be any role, including the Illusionist.
Strong opinions:
If Tommy Boy is a wolf, Raine is probably not a wolf. If Tommy Boy is not a wolf, Raine is probably a wolf.
Several players have laid low and had conspicuous role claims.
Breakdown:
Dean - I know I'm the Beast Hunter (RVR1).
Raine - claims to be the Ritualist. If Tommy Boy is a wolf, I'm inclined to believe her. If Tommy isn't a wolf, he's probably the Spirit Seer, and Raine is a wolf. Raine has been leading lynch mobs and steering votes. I hope she is truly the Ritualist. 51/49 townie.
Vash - claims to be the Loudmouth (RVR2). I have no reason to doubt this. Shortkut is pro-Vash, but I can't tell if he is 100% sure based on evidence. Vash has played the same in this game as I have seen in other games where he's been a townie, but I also know Vash is smart enough to keep his style consistent. 70% feeling Vash is a townie.
Tommy Boy - claims to be Spirit Seer (RVR - not really). Weakest evidence IMO. Tommy would know Vash is innocent if he were a wolf. I am sticking with Tommy being a wolf and Raine being the Ritualist unless I am proven otherwise. Tommy hasn't been very active, admittedly because of his new video game. I can't get past the post where he said he checked Raine and me and saw red. If this is true, then Raine is a killer. 51/49 wolfie.
Fool's Requiem - this is probably my ballsiest guess, but I think there is a good possibility that FR was the Illusionist and got very unlucky by picking shortkut, who is the Flagger. This is my wild ass guess, and I'm probably wrong. Like 25% chance here.
Alu/Altoona Pizza - I'm trying to pick up hints. I believe he's the Marksman, unless I missed a role claim/hint. I'm not entirely sold, and Alu was on my bubble of potential wolves. I know he is busy showing his house/moving, but he is always such a difficult read, it makes me nervous. I feel 50/50 on Alu.
Benzine - I am starting to have strong suspicions of them being a wolf. Not a lot of activity, besides "I don't have time. I'll have to look over things later." But later never comes. Followed by quick votes or dismissive comments. Seems careful to say much or engage. Plus, if I picked up on the hint correctly, claimed to be Beast Hunter (RVR - not really). Not saying there can't be two, but it seems kind of unlikely. I would say 80% that Benzine is a wolf.
Jawneh - I regret not lynching yesterday, as I feel that, looking back on their posts, they are likely a wolf. "Won't end the game if I die." "Not the fool". Posting about the magic eight ball. Supposed vague role claiming, but I think more likely a wolf keeping a low profile.
Local Hero - claims to be a witch but didn't know the witch cannot protect themselves and seemed to get caught. I think TD's suspicion was right and they're the Fool.
shortkut - I feel like Flagger makes sense here. Either way, I think shortkut is a random villager (RVR3). About 50% sure.
Smacktard - claims to be Sheriff but I think the original beliefs of wolf could be more accurate. Tubby is role claiming Sheriff, but there could be two. I think it's 50/50, but if I had to pick, I would guess either Kelly or Tubby is a wolf. I would pick Kelly right now.
TD - RVR4. I don't know which role. I probably missed some role claim hints too. He posts way too much!
Tubby23 - claims to be Sheriff. Similar to Kelly/Smacktard, I feel like either he is sheriff or wolf. I am barely leaning toward Sheriff right now but am prepared to be wrong.
