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Zell Wolf GWF Zell Version XI Wolf Day 2

Who should the villagers lynch? (7 votes required)

  • Benzine

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Dean

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Fool's Requiem

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Jon

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Raine

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • shortkut

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Smacktard

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • TD

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Tommy Boy

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Tubby23

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • VashTheStampede

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    17
  • Poll closed .
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TD

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Oh looks like I have officially entered the game
Episode 4 Nbc GIF by Brooklyn Nine-Nine
 

VashTheStampede

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I'd have suspected someone tried to off Vash on the first night, just because he's himand likely considered a threat if he's not on the wolf team. This would line up with the kill not going through if he was jailed with Fool's.

OTOH, I am rarely an early game target for baddies because they probably know theres a good chance I fuck up and help them out.

I'm like a reverse werewolf these days. At night I am pro-town and during the day I kill townies.

  • It seemed Fool's implied something happened while they were both jailed, implying that the weapon was dropped and it was not used, but they talked about their differences in the jail-conversation.
Warden gave me a weapon. I chose not to use it.

  • /!\ There is the possibility that Vash and Fool's are BOTH wolves and they just chose not to break out and kill the Warden. That would lead the Warden to assume they weren't capable of breaking out and giving them some long-running cover, over getting a single kill on the Warden. This feels like the kind of mastermind play that Vash might formulate.
This is a super cool compliment but I think most regulars in the game can confirm that I don't do "plans" or "think things through ahead of time" and pretty much flit from moment to moment like a drunk bee trying to pollinate an entire greenhouse in one night like Santa Claus dishing out presents.

Analogy Inception.
 

VashTheStampede

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This is why I want to know what changed for Vash to not suspect FR anymore - in my book, neither of them are cleared.
When I checked in during the waning hours of Day 1 I noticed there were 6 votes on Jawneh of the 7 needed. Fool's cast the deciding vote. Jawneh was a wolf. That showed me more evidence than literally anyone else has so far.

Of course I could see where that was just a ploy but him and Dean are the only ones who have let me peek at their cards so far.
And no - our Warden should NOT speak up.
I agree wholeheartedly.

Edited for typo
 
Doesn't it make sense for Dean's aura claim to be trustworthy here? If he claims FR is blue and FR gets locked up with Vash and Vash has a knife, he's going to kill FR if he's a wolf. So if he got a knife and didn't kill FR he's not a wolf either. In my head the only way what I said isn't true is if all three are wolves but that's a big lie to get twisted in and I feel like somebody should be able to disprove that
 

VashTheStampede

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Why do you think the Warden chose you? And why did you choose not to use the weapon?
First question: I wondered the same thing and still am not sure. Only thing I could figure was they felt fine with possibly sacrificing Fool's to find out my true allegiance?

The other option is they thought Fool's was guilty and wanted me to kill him. But I didn't share that opinion and didn't feel like checking out of the game quite yet.

I was  ridiculously surprised they dropped the weapon for me because I was sure I was the more suspicious of the pair.
 

TD

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Doesn't it make sense for Dean's aura claim to be trustworthy here? If he claims FR is blue and FR gets locked up with Vash and Vash has a knife, he's going to kill FR if he's a wolf. So if he got a knife and didn't kill FR he's not a wolf either. In my head the only way what I said isn't true is if all three are wolves but that's a big lie to get twisted in and I feel like somebody should be able to disprove that
So there's an important distinction here.

Blue/red is Spirit Seer. Dean is claiming Aura Seer which sees Good/Unknown/Evil.

Vash not killing FR with a knife doesn't mean that FR is NOT a wolf, it means Vash didn't feel there was enough evidence pointing that direction to make the call.

We also have no way to tell if what Dean is saying is true or not because everyone is alive.

Again - no chance Vash and FR are both wolves or the Warden would be dead.
 
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/!\ There is the possibility that Vash and Fool's are BOTH wolves and they just chose not to break out and kill the Warden. That would lead the Warden to assume they weren't capable of breaking out and giving them some long-running cover, over getting a single kill on the Warden. This feels like the kind of mastermind play that Vash might formulate. The thing stopping me from really chasing this is that they'd have to be subtle AF to communicate this plan without the Warden overhearing it, or would have had to pre-plan it all in just the first night.
Interesting approach to this. I'm listening.
/!\ Also, if this was true and they remained jailed they wouldn't have been able to wolf-vote for anyone. With Jawneh dead there are 3/4 wolves. If the third remaining wolf is the Wolf Seer, they wouldn't have been able to vote by themselves, which would have led to no wolf kill.
The odds of this are probably so low, but if this ends up being true, holy shit.
I don't know what the odds are on Tommy getting the Cupid role again, but I guess weirder shit has happened. If he is, he'll know who he coupled, but not their role. I don't know what good it would do for the village if he revealed who he coupled though.
I'm pretty sure this is my first time being Cupid. I was the Fool in game 2 or something. But never Cupid until now.

There is no point to reveal the couple in my opinion. The two that I picked were chosen using one of these guidelines:
  1. They are a funny matchup. Putting these two players together is not so much strategic as it is comical to see them work it out
  2. They are a bad matchup. Putting these two players together is not strategic at all and I have no plans to win on the solo team.
  3. One is active and one never is. Another sort of comical option but can also generate interesting results.
  4. They are very powerful both alone and together. Putting these two together was intentional, with the intention of winning with the couple.
  5. Newest player paired with veteran player. Putting these two together could help a newer player learn better strategies and allow the veteran to see things in new perspectives.
The couple will know which of these they are. And now they know why I paired them up.
I'll check back in like 5 hours after I drop my daughter at school, but probably won't have time to ponder more of this shit until later in the day.
Honestly dude great post, I appreciate the analysis.
This is a super cool compliment but I think most regulars in the game can confirm that I don't do "plans" or "think things through ahead of time"
1702911593061.png
 

VashTheStampede

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1. You are assuming it was my idea and not another wolf

2. Ok ok it was my plan

3. My "mastermind plot" was to...copy something someone else JUST DID because people would not think someone was dumb enough to do it twice in a row.

4. I was dumb enough to do it twice in a row.

5. Bonus Directors Cut Meme from that game, never before revealed until now!

1000001699.jpg
 

Smacktard

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1. You are assuming it was my idea and not another wolf

2. Ok ok it was my plan

3. My "mastermind plot" was to...copy something someone else JUST DID because people would not think someone was dumb enough to do it twice in a row.

4. I was dumb enough to do it twice in a row.

5. Bonus Directors Cut Meme from that game, never before revealed until now!

View attachment 4865
Saying you were leaving, but continuing to post? Who are you -- me?
 

Ben

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He did say the first day that FR had a good aura.


Oh no, please don't bring up odds!


I was curious about this too, if Vash decided not to kill FR or wasn't given the opportunity.

I'm glad you're not muted!

@Raine how 'bout it, want to have a girl's night and eat cookies? We'll either both be safe or die together.

If both Vash and FR are wolves it would make no sense to not break out and kill the Warden.

We don't know who the Warden is, there was no telegraph of who would be in there, and the Ritualist is dead.

Near zero chance they are both wolves.

However, they could absolutely be on different teams.

Let's say one or both of them were dropped a weapon and they used it.

- If they were both townies, the weapon user would die
- If they were on opposite teams, the weapon user would kill the person
- If we wake up to a townie murdered in jail, the Warden caught a bad guy

This is why I want to know what changed for Vash to not suspect FR anymore - in my book, neither of them are cleared.

And no - our Warden should NOT speak up.

OTOH, I am rarely an early game target for baddies because they probably know theres a good chance I fuck up and help them out.

I'm like a reverse werewolf these days. At night I am pro-town and during the day I kill townies.


Warden gave me a weapon. I chose not to use it.


This is a super cool compliment but I think most regulars in the game can confirm that I don't do "plans" or "think things through ahead of time" and pretty much flit from moment to moment like a drunk bee trying to pollinate an entire greenhouse in one night like Santa Claus dishing out presents.

Analogy Inception.

Interesting approach to this. I'm listening.

The odds of this are probably so low, but if this ends up being true, holy shit.

I'm pretty sure this is my first time being Cupid. I was the Fool in game 2 or something. But never Cupid until now.

There is no point to reveal the couple in my opinion. The two that I picked were chosen using one of these guidelines:
  1. They are a funny matchup. Putting these two players together is not so much strategic as it is comical to see them work it out
  2. They are a bad matchup. Putting these two players together is not strategic at all and I have no plans to win on the solo team.
  3. One is active and one never is. Another sort of comical option but can also generate interesting results.
  4. They are very powerful both alone and together. Putting these two together was intentional, with the intention of winning with the couple.
  5. Newest player paired with veteran player. Putting these two together could help a newer player learn better strategies and allow the veteran to see things in new perspectives.
The couple will know which of these they are. And now they know why I paired them up.

Honestly dude great post, I appreciate the analysis.

wolftheory.png

I'm willing to accept I might have gone down a rabbit hole with that one, especially with the "don't kill the Warden just to play the long game" bit. Honestly if I got any of that right I'd be super surprised myself.

And now I must depart for a few for my Day Off Tradition of traveling to Whataburger for Breakfast Burgers.

I can resume testimony later if necessary.

89r142.gif
 
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Don't go down this rabbit hole.
If the Warden jailed two wolves, the Warden would be dead.
OK heard lol. Just thought with nobody dying that that could work. But yeah, since we didn't know who the warden was or who they were going to jail, they would definitely be dead.
3. My "mastermind plot" was to...copy something someone else JUST DID because people would not think someone was dumb enough to do it twice in a row.
This is why I was going SO HARD at the fact it was faked. I knew that because it was just done, if anyone else tried to claim it, I would go after them relentlessly until they were dead. I didn't actually know if you were faking or not. But I didn't care. I believed it was fake no matter what. If it had not been for the wolf team lynching the fool, I made it my purpose to expose you. :chuckle My head canon did not see it any other way.
 

VashTheStampede

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This is why I was going SO HARD at the fact it was faked. I knew that because it was just done, if anyone else tried to claim it, I would go after them relentlessly until they were dead. I didn't actually know if you were faking or not. But I didn't care. I believed it was fake no matter what. If it had not been for the wolf team lynching the fool, I made it my purpose to expose you. :chuckle My head canon did not see it any other way.

This is why I am so sad we didn't get to mute you day 2.

Would have been so fun.
 

Fool's Requiem

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I have not read anything in the last 100 posts. Super busy at work.

Is there a reason I should or should not keep my vote on Kat?

Did we learn anything new about other people?

I need the tl;dr and eli5 version plz
I don't have an answer to your questions and can only add to them:

Why did Kelly vote for Raine last round? I don't recall the reason.
 

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Is there a reason I should or should not keep my vote on Kat?
I don't necessarily think Kat is bad because she's pushing for role claims in Zell's fashion. She said on two separate occasions that the strategy I proposed worked/would work -- if people bought into it.

I'm not in agreement that this particular game requires early role claiming for a town win, but I don't think her lightly advocating for it makes her suspicious.

After all, she voted for Jawneh.
 
Man, I was fucking ITCHING to see what was going on last night but obviously I'm not gonna whip it out and check for Friendsmas.

Best not to whip it out in front of your friends, I've found...

Also, I have a theory and want to see what happens with this.

Changing vote to Dean.

You broke my heart. Is that what you wanted? 💔

I have acquired burgers with eggs and pepper sauce

That sounds good. I had a Wendy's Breakfast Baconator earlier and they always hit the spot.

I have not read anything in the last 100 posts. Super busy at work.

Is there a reason I should or should not keep my vote on Kat?

Did we learn anything new about other people?

I need the tl;dr and eli5 version plz

I didn't see anything new to support or oppose voting for Kat.
 

TD

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I was the first person to vote for Jawneh (except for Benzine)
The votes for Jawneh looked something like this:

You and Benzine voted Jawneh
A little later Tubby joined
A little later I joined followed immediately by Kat
Tubby switched to Kat after shortkut suggested it
Tubby jumped back onto Jawneh at what appears to be an unposted time
Decent amount of time passes, Dean is vote 6, FR is vote 7, shortkut is vote 8
 
The votes for Jawneh looked something like this:

You and Benzine voted Jawneh
A little later Tubby joined
A little later I joined followed immediately by Kat
Tubby switched to Kat after shortkut suggested it
Tubby jumped back onto Jawneh at what appears to be an unposted time
Decent amount of time passes, Dean is vote 6, FR is vote 7, shortkut is vote 8
I was #5 I think, then FR was #6, then I wanna say Tubby came back around for #7
 
FR was #7

i seent it GIF

Do you remember if I was #5 and Tubby was #6? Maybe Tubby will know. I really thought I was #5. I'm splitting hairs at this point anyway.

I still think we should focus on people who did NOT vote for Jawneh and have not made any strong role claim.

@VashTheStampede I'm looking at you. What was your character doing last night?
 
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